Atlanta @ Tampa Bay (-1.5), 4:15 Sunday, Fox

"Atlanta is gonna win that game by more than 5. Philadelphia and Green Bay are the top 2 teams. The third is a toss-up. I'm not in a rush to say New England; their defense is horrid. If I had to pick, I'm gonna go with Atlanta. I feel like they haven't started playing Atlanta ball—Roddy White is due for a breakout and Matt Ryan has had terrific games as far as yardage goes. They can't afford to lose another game. They gave up a lot to get Julio Jones.

"Josh Freeman is really amazing when he's on, but I haven't seen enough. I can't say I'm totally confident in Blount. I like the defense, but other than that, I don't think they're in that tier below the Green Bays and Philadelphias and Atlantas."

Prediction: Take the Falcons and give the points