Since the season five finale, Game of Thrones fans have been clamoring for a definitive answer to Jon Snow’s fate and, unfortunately, that remains to be determined. Despite numerous poster teasing and vague theories from the cast, we still don’t know if Snow is dead or dead dead. If you’re going by an algorithm by students at the Technical University of Munich, we shouldn’t even be having this discussion.

According to their research, Jon Snow has an 11% likelihood of being killed compared to the 95% for Daenerys Targaryen or the 96% for Stannis Baratheon, the Guardian reports. These numbers were determined by a complex algorithm made up of more than two dozen criteria including age, title, gender, number of dead relations and popularity. For a man like Snow, whose skill with a sword is unmatched and whose popularity easily made him a fan favorite, seeing him stabbed Julius Caesar style felt akin to getting sand caught in one’s eyelids.

As part of the A Song of Ice and Data analysis project, the study found that characters between the age of 31 and 40 were most likely to die. Fun activity: Go through the 2,028 characters in the GOT universe and see how many in the age group actually died.

The study definitely won’t change what really happened to Snow but it’s more fuel to the fire in fans who will never get over watching him fall to the ground like that. 

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