Will Win: Alessia Cara

Alessia Cara’s antisocial anthem “Here” put her on the map back in 2015,and she’s been nominated for some variation of best new artist (see also: breakout, breakthrough, newcomer) 13 times since then. She’s even won several times. Why are the Grammys just taking notice of the Canadian songstress as a "new artist" now? Her collab with Logic and fellow Best New Artist nominee Khalid on "1-800-273-8255," which is also up for Best Song, could have put her on their radar. It could also be because the Grammys, despite their improved efforts, are still hella out of touch. Either way, Alessia Cara will definitely scoop this award up: she’s young, talented, and way safer (read: boring) bet for the Grammys than say, Lil Uzi Vert.

Should Win: SZA

SZA’s previous work—several promising but inconsistent EPs—positioned her as an artist to watch, but her debut album Ctrl showed what she was truly capable of. Ctrl, with its soulful melodies and poignant lyricism, cemented SZA as an R&B star. SZA dominated 2017 and her raw honesty and message of emotional resilience saved us from crippling depression in a Trump-dominated world. No one is more deserving of the prize.

Dark Horse: Lil Uzi Vert

Lil Uzi Vert debut studio album Luv Is Rage 2, the follow-up his wildly popular mixtape, is a lowkey masterpiece. But even the success of "XO Tour Llif3" likely can’t compete with SZA’s breakout year and Alessia Cara’s wholesome appeal.