The Black Keys ”Lonely Boy”
Album: El Camino

Kelly Clarkson “Stronger (What Doesn't Kill You)”
Album: Stronger

Fun. featuring Janelle Monáe “We Are Young”
Album: Some Nights

Gotye featuring Kimbra “Somebody That I Used to Know”
Album: Making Mirrors

Frank Ocean “Thinkin Bout You”
Album: Channel Orange

Taylor Swift “We Are Never Ever Getting Back Together”
Album: Red 


Ernest: The Grammys love Taylor Swift. She won Album of the Year when she was like 12.

David: “Somebody That I Used to Know” is my jam. I was late on that one, I think I Shazaam’d it at a Starbucks three months after it hit number one in America. But Frank will probably get this.

Insanul: I get the feeling The Black Keys and Kelly Clarkson have no shot. I don’t think Frank has translated to the Grammy audience just yet (even though I like his song more than anyone else’s) and I feel like maybe they’ve grown tired of Taylor Swift. Which leaves Gotye and Fun. I like Gotye’s record a lot more than Fun’s, but fear all the YouTube covers have soften the impact of the song. So I’m rolling with Fun.

Lauren: The Black Keys definitely have a shot—even Clarkson. But even I have to go with T. Swift. I want Ocean to sweep—and chances are he may, but realistically Swift had a big year, too. “We Are Never Ever Getting Back Together” really sucked in comparison to “I Knew You Were Trouble,” though. And Fun. is just The Format, with wrinkles, to be honest.

Foster: Remember: Beyonce and Jay-Z/Alicia Keys have both lost in this category to shittier songs. Odds aren’t with Frank. Also, “Thinkin Bout You” was better before it had a string section. It was more pure, less overproduced, the way that record should sound: A lonely-bedroom R & B jam. “We Are Young” is the most ruined-by-the-chorus song in recent memory. That Gotye song is a Volkswagon commercial waiting to happen. “We Are Never Getting Back Together” is the “Deez Nutz” of a post-Riot Grrl America. Team T-Swizz.

Should Win: "Thinkin Bout You"

Will Win: "We Are Never Getting Back Together"