The Signal and the Noise: Why Most Predictions Fail but Some Don't
Author: Nate Silver
Publishing Date: September 27
For any one curious about the science behind predictions, The Signal and the Noise: Why Most Predictions Fail but Some Don't by stats guru Nate Silver is a must get. The book, a nonfiction bestseller, analyzes how we are able to distinguish "a true signal from a universe of noisy data." Silver, who came to fame for his spot on political forecasting in this year's election (he runs the popular blog, FiveThirtyEight.com), also investigates how prediction can be a very dangerous science.