Who Will Win Best New Artist at the VMAs Tonight?

Frank Ocean, Nominated for "Swim Good"

Bias: “Swim Good” is also nominated for Best Male Video and Best Direction, and his Odd Future pal Tyler, The Creator won Best New Artist last year.

Merit: Frank Ocean made music history this year with his same-sex love story, and then built on the hype with his universally acclaimed Def Jam debut, Channel ORANGE. Of the nominees, he seems best positioned for a lengthy career.

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